Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.500392 3.721784 3.957905 4.229859 4.536208 4.872750 5.273395
2024-10-13 3.138941 3.425062 3.744860 4.132980 4.597219 5.142739 5.845020
2024-10-20 2.856960 3.178813 3.551718 4.023590 4.616948 5.356592 6.380821
2024-10-27 2.610391 2.948739 3.352006 3.879878 4.572170 5.481081 6.827963
2024-11-03 2.511874 2.886081 3.346695 3.974082 4.840091 6.054724 8.027889
2024-11-10 2.446671 2.857765 3.380055 4.120711 5.199840 6.828988 9.785432
2024-11-17 2.309070 2.726001 3.266851 4.055000 5.247584 7.148040 10.913293
2024-11-24 2.177380 2.592635 3.140459 3.956911 5.232538 7.364430 11.951291
2024-12-01 2.073259 2.488982 3.046413 3.895725 5.266184 7.673273 13.351258
2024-12-08 1.986536 2.403282 2.970739 3.853871 5.324888 8.043311 15.138636
2024-12-15 1.940275 2.369743 2.965839 3.918893 5.573614 8.851348 18.811771
2024-12-22 1.838075 2.252901 2.832832 3.769617 5.422572 8.789895 19.728811
2024-12-29 1.782873 2.207390 2.813220 3.821505 5.688268 9.837238 26.834582
2025-01-05 1.700493 2.118784 2.723574 3.749741 5.711417 10.346869 33.354627
2025-01-12 1.621954 2.031758 2.630878 3.664437 5.696682 10.777091 41.740952
2025-01-19 1.542689 1.939898 2.525264 3.547399 5.599679 10.957868 50.211161
2025-01-26 1.514625 1.921774 2.533184 3.632158 5.955087 12.745529 108.691435
2025-02-02 1.496851 1.917749 2.562932 3.760790 6.449108 15.534407 1554.303303
2025-02-09 1.444854 1.859111 2.499972 3.707457 6.494768 16.638125 NaN
2025-02-16 1.391458 1.795949 2.425860 3.625520 6.453229 17.354726 NaN
2025-02-23 1.347504 1.745466 2.370007 3.574528 6.485466 18.550348 NaN
2025-03-02 1.309464 1.702525 2.324359 3.539702 6.556635 20.135573 NaN
2025-03-09 1.289476 1.686808 2.323791 3.596674 6.905274 24.288827 NaN